The public auction record overstates art returns and understates risk — in a known direction, by documented amounts. We statistically correct it, and serve the corrected pricing, risk, and valuation with every model’s uncertainty stated, not buried. Validated out-of-sample — including the lots that failed to sell.
Request access ↓| Gerhard Richter — A.B. Courbet | Liquidity-at-Risk | 12-mo P(sold) 81% | LTV 38 – 46% | |
| Agnes Martin — The Peach | Estimate Calibration | Band $2.1M – 3.4M | P(bought-in) 22% | |
| Ed Ruscha — Standard Station | Comparable-Sales | 14 comps · p50 $1.7M | IQR stated | |
| Jean-Michel Basquiat — Warrior Study | Liquidity-at-Risk | 12-mo P(sold) 74% | LTV 32 – 41% |
Illustrative outputs · intervals drawn as stated · live surfaces are invite-only during the pilot
Built for the people who have to put a number in writing — lenders, guarantors, advisors, appraisers, and underwriters — when the raw auction record isn’t evidence enough.